Mawqaq

Next 7 daysLow0%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Click a ring to focus that year.

Next 7 days

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

Sat32°

Sun31°

Mon31°

Tue30°

Wed30°

Thu30°

Fri29°

Season

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

The normal year vs 2026

Compare with

25-year history

Harmonized: 0%/10Raw: +86%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Unusual years

2013
1
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
season began 30 weeks late
2016
2
season ended 4 weeks late
2019
6
3.1× the normal annual activity
peak 22× stronger than normal
season began 3 weeks late
season ended 23 weeks early
2020
1
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
season began 8 weeks late
season ended 23 weeks early
2021
9
4.7× the normal annual activity
peak 18× stronger than normal
season began 6 weeks early
season ended 9 weeks late
2022
2
peak 8.8× stronger than normal
season began 9 weeks late
season ended 22 weeks early
2023
1
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
season began 19 weeks late
season ended 12 weeks early
2024
6
3.1× the normal annual activity
peak 13× stronger than normal
season began 10 weeks late
season ended 7 weeks late
2025
4
2.1× the normal annual activity
peak 8.8× stronger than normal
season began 9 weeks late
season ended 4 weeks early