Al Qara

Next 7 daysLow0%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Click a ring to focus that year.

Next 7 days

Low

Expected detections: ~0.0

Sat30°

Sun30°

Mon30°

Tue30°

Wed30°

Thu29°

Fri29°

Season

Critical windows

The normal year vs 2026

Compare with

25-year history

Harmonized: 0%/10Raw: +36%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Unusual years

2006
11
6.3× the normal annual activity
peak 48× stronger than normal
season began 21 weeks late
2015
4
peak 16× stronger than normal
2016
2
peak 5.3× stronger than normal
season began 9 weeks late
2017
3
peak 11× stronger than normal
2018
4
peak 11× stronger than normal
2019
1
peak 5.3× stronger than normal
season began 19 weeks late
2020
1
peak 5.3× stronger than normal
season began 23 weeks late
2021
8
4.6× the normal annual activity
peak 21× stronger than normal
season began 4 weeks late
2022
4
peak 11× stronger than normal
season began 27 weeks late
2023
2
peak 5.3× stronger than normal
season ended 22 weeks early
2024
3
peak 11× stronger than normal
season began 11 weeks late