Makueni

Next 7 daysModerate29%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Click a ring to focus that year.

Next 7 days

Moderate

Expected detections: ~6.1

Sat33°

Sun33°

Mon33°

Tue33°

Wed33°

Thu33°

Fri33°

Season

Critical windows

The normal year vs 2026

Compare with

25-year history

Harmonized: +6%/10Raw: +69%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Unusual years

2008
406
peak 2.1× stronger than normal
2009
259
peak 2.0× stronger than normal
2010
312
season began 14 weeks late
2011
212
season ended 3 weeks early
2012
455
peak 2.1× stronger than normal
2014
239
season began 16 weeks late
2016
309
season began 17 weeks late
2018
92
only 0.4× the normal annual activity
2019
380
season began 15 weeks late
season ended 3 weeks early
2020
658
2.8× the normal annual activity
peak 4.5× stronger than normal
season began 22 weeks late
2021
195
season ended 3 weeks late
2023
101
only 0.4× the normal annual activity
2024
351
season ended 3 weeks late