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RegionsKenya

Busia County

Next 7 daysModerate27%
Annual mean
0detections
Peak period
mid December – mid March
Record year
2003292
Trend
−23%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +92%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Click a ring to focus that year.

Total detections per year
YearTotal
2001119
2002130
2003292
2004261
2005224
2006215
2007169
2008177
2009269
2010136
2011168
2012123
201346
2014155
2015239
2016233
2017136
2018125
2019150
202037
2021128
2022128
2023211
202458
2025160
2026157

Next 7 days

Moderate

Full risk view

0%

Moderate

Expected detections: ~1.1

  • An active part of the fire season↑
  • This year is more active than normal↑
  • Fires detected in recent days↑
  • Rain expected (21 mm)↓
Sat28°
Sun28°
Mon29°
Tue27°
Wed29°
Thu30°
Fri30°

Right now

late October

This week1.0

This week is more active than 64% of past years at this time

Year to date157
#8 of 26 yearsNormal: 127

Season

mid August – early March

Onset
mid August
Peak
mid February
End
early March

Critical windows

  • mid December – mid March

    67% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: −23%/10Raw: +92%/10
HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Unusual years

11

  • 2004

    261

    season ended 3 weeks late

  • 2006

    215

    season ended 3 weeks early

  • 2010

    136

    season ended 3 weeks early

  • 2012

    123

    season began 13 weeks late

  • 2013

    46

    only 0.3× the normal annual activity

  • 2014

    155

    season began 18 weeks late

  • 2015

    239

    season began 23 weeks late

  • 2016

    233

    season ended 3 weeks late

  • 2020

    37

    only 0.2× the normal annual activity

  • 2024

    58

    only 0.4× the normal annual activity

  • 2026

    157

    season ended 6 weeks early

Export dataweekly.csvannual.csvhotspots.geojson
ODLAR

One fire history for the Land of Fire.

Built for the NASA Space Apps Challenge 2026.

ExploreRegionsRiskHarmonizationMethodologyDataSimple mode

Data sources

NASA FIRMS, NASA POWER, Open-Meteo, OpenStreetMap, geoBoundaries, OpenFreeMap

ODLAR is not an official warning service. In an emergency call 112.