Silt'e

Next 7 daysLow13%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Click a ring to focus that year.

Next 7 days

Low

Expected detections: ~0.2

Sat26°

Sun26°

Mon26°

Tue26°

Wed27°

Thu27°

Fri27°

Season

Critical windows

The normal year vs 2026

Compare with

25-year history

Harmonized: −11%/10Raw: +74%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Unusual years

2012
24
1.6× the normal annual activity
peak 3.1× stronger than normal
season began 7 weeks late
season ended 7 weeks early
2013
31
2.1× the normal annual activity
peak 2.8× stronger than normal
season began 3 weeks late
season ended 7 weeks early
2014
22
season ended 7 weeks early
2016
12
season began 3 weeks early
2017
14
season began 3 weeks late
2018
14
season began 7 weeks late
2019
15
season began 5 weeks early
2020
13
season ended 8 weeks early
2021
25
1.7× the normal annual activity
2022
7
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
season began 10 weeks late
2023
10
only 0.7× the normal annual activity
season ended 9 weeks early
2024
6
only 0.4× the normal annual activity
season began 6 weeks late
2025
12
season began 5 weeks early
2026
6
only 0.4× the normal annual activity
season began 6 weeks late
season ended 8 weeks late