Eastern Tigray

Next 7 daysLow4%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Click a ring to focus that year.

Next 7 days

Low

Expected detections: ~0.1

Sat21°

Sun21°

Mon21°

Tue20°

Wed21°

Thu22°

Fri22°

Season

Two-peak season: spring and summer–autumn

Critical windows

The normal year vs 2026

Compare with

25-year history

Harmonized: 0%/10Raw: +39%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Unusual years

2012
2
peak 5.1× stronger than normal
season ended 16 weeks early
2013
5
2.6× the normal annual activity
peak 10× stronger than normal
2014
3
1.6× the normal annual activity
peak 5.1× stronger than normal
2016
1
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
peak 5.1× stronger than normal
season began 31 weeks late
season ended 4 weeks early
2017
2
peak 5.1× stronger than normal
season ended 18 weeks early
2018
1
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
peak 5.1× stronger than normal
season ended 33 weeks early
2020
4
2.1× the normal annual activity
peak 15× stronger than normal
season ended 10 weeks early
2021
3
1.6× the normal annual activity
peak 10× stronger than normal
season began 12 weeks late
season ended 18 weeks early
2023
1
only 0.5× the normal annual activity
peak 5.1× stronger than normal
season ended 39 weeks early
2024
2
peak 10× stronger than normal
season ended 32 weeks early
2025
4
2.1× the normal annual activity
peak 15× stronger than normal
season began 33 weeks late
2026
3
1.6× the normal annual activity
peak 5.1× stronger than normal
season began 6 weeks early
season ended 5 weeks late