Aragatsotn

Next 7 daysLow1%

Annual mean: 0detections
Peak period: early August – mid October
Record year: 202578
Trend: +14%/ 10not significant · on raw data: +85%

Fire clock

Ring = year, slice = week. Click a ring to focus that year.

Total detections per year
Year	Total
2001	33
2002	29
2003	17
2004	36
2005	20
2006	34
2007	17
2008	24
2009	15
2010	49
2011	36
2012	27
2013	41
2014	14
2015	16
2016	39
2017	50
2018	43
2019	51
2020	24
2021	13
2022	23
2023	44
2024	22
2025	78
2026	24

Next 7 days

Low

Full risk view

Low

Expected detections: ~0.1

An active part of the fire season↑
Humid air (78%)↓

Sat5°

Sun6°

Mon6°

Tue5°

Wed5°

Thu3°

Fri1°

Right now

late October

This week0.0

This week is more active than 20% of past years at this time

Year to date24

#15 of 26 yearsNormal: 27

Season

mid March – late October

Onset: mid March
Peak: early September
End: late October

Critical windows

early August – mid October
54% of annual activity
early March – mid March
4% of annual activity

The normal year vs 2026

Bands show the 25-year range; the white line is this year so far.

Compare with

25-year history

The raw record jumps in 2012 when VIIRS arrives; the harmonized record does not.

Harmonized: +14%/10Raw: +85%/10

HarmonizedNaive merged record90% uncertainty

Unusual years

9

2010
49
season began 9 weeks late
season ended 6 weeks late
2014
14
season ended 7 weeks early
2015
16
season began 13 weeks late
2016
39
season began 15 weeks late
2017
50
peak 4.3× stronger than normal
2018
43
season began 9 weeks late
2021
13
season ended 18 weeks early
2023
44
season began 10 weeks late
2024
22
season ended 7 weeks late

Export dataweekly.csv annual.csv hotspots.geojson